Expect elevated prices for the next few weeks as weather issues, regional transitions, and reduced plantings limit availability. Mexico’s Baja and Sonora early-season production is still recovering from October storms.

Mexico (into California)

• Supplies remain extremely limited as cold weather, rain, and freeze events have reduced volume and delayed production in Baja, Sonora, and Sinaloa
• Baja harvests are light while growers are waiting for the Sonora season to begin, creating ongoing supply gaps
• Serrano, Jalapeño, and Anaheim chiles remain especially tight due to size issues and reduced plantings driven by water scarcity, weather volatility, rising input costs, and a tighter export outlook
• Fewer Serrano, Red Fresno, Habanero, and Anaheim acres were planted, contributing to shortages
• Weather-related damage is driving potential quality issues such as softness, breakdown, and inconsistent size

Mexico (into South Texas)

• Serrano markets remain extremely elevated while Jalapeño prices are trending higher; other varieties remain relatively steady
• All peppers loading through South Texas are from Mexico, where slow starts in the growing areas of Tamaulipas and Sinaloa are creating supply gaps
• Poblano supply levels are strongest right now, while Serrano and Jalapeño are the most limited
• The harvesting transition to Northern Mexico is underway, but meaningful volume is still one to two weeks out
• No weather issues reported; quality is strong

East Coast

• Stocks are currently loading in Florida; the winter season has started in La Belle
• Jalapeño and Cubanelle yields are increasing
• Serrano and Poblano production is light; Anaheim supplies are not currently available

Please contact your Markon Account Manager for more information.

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