California’s 2026-27 Navel orange crop is forecast at 84 million cartons, up from last season due to improved fruit set and stable sizing. While production is expected to increase, it remains below historical crops that exceeded 90 million cartons, supporting a balanced supply outlook. Overall, the larger crop will provide consistent availability throughout the season while maintaining favorable market conditions.

Markon Impact

• Increased production will drive a smooth transition from Valencia oranges into new-crop California Navels, maintaining consistent supply for Markon members throughout the fall and winter seasons
• Restaurants, schools, and other foodservice operators can expect better availability of 113- and 138-count oranges
• Stable sizing will support consistent yields and specifications for fresh-cut programs, merchandising, grab-and-go offerings, and juice applications
• While the crop is larger than last season, volume remains below historical highs, which will help prevent excessive market pressure and support generally stable pricing
• The California Navel season is currently estimated to begin shipping the week of October 25

Please contact your Markon Account Manager for more information.

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